The center of the eye of Typhoon Egay was estimated based on all available data including Daet Doppler Weather Radar at 500 km East of Baler, Aurora.
It is moving North Northwestward at 10 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 190 km/h.
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are highly likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
In addition, Egay may also enhance the Southwest Monsoon, bringing occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas in the next three days.
Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 are in effect. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are also possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No.1 is hoisted. Current forecast scenario shows that the highest wind signal that may be hoisted will be Wind Signal No. 4 or 5 (e.g., typhoon-force wind threat).
Typhoon Egay steadily intensifies
EGAY and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may also bring gusty conditions over the following areas not under any Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
- Today: The rest of Visayas and MIMAROPA, and the northern portions of Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, and Caraga.
- Tomorrow: The rest of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, and the northern portion of Northern Mindanao and Dinagat Islands.
- Wednesday: Visayas and the rest of Luzon.
There is minimal to moderate risk of storm surge of up to 3.0 m in height which may cause flooding in the low-lying and exposed coastal areas of Batanes, Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and Isabela.
Egay is forecast to continue intensifying and reach super typhoon category by late tomorrow or on early Wednesday. However, should the track forecast shift closer to the landmass of Luzon, the typhoon may peak at an intensity just below STY threshold. Nevertheless, Egay is forecast to become a very strong typhoon. A weakening trend may begin by Wednesday afternoon or evening as it enters the cooler waters southwest and west of Taiwan (i.e., Taiwan Strait).
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