The low pressure area east of northern Aurora has developed into Tropical Depression Julian, Pagasa said on its latest weather bulletin.
At 10:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression Julian was estimated based on all available data at 940 km East of Casiguran, Aurora, or 975 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.1 °N, 130.9 °E ).
Julian is moving westward at 15 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h.
It is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward today through tomorrow (29 August) morning, then turn northward tomorrow evening. On the forecast track, Julian will remain over the Philippine Sea throughout the forecast period, far from the landmass. It is likely to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday (31 August) evening.
Continuous intensification is likely throughout the forecast period. Julian is expected to reach tropical storm category within 12 hours and severe tropical storm category within 24 to 36 hours. It is forecast to reach typhoon category by Sunday morning (30 August).
The raising of Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal is unlikely throughout the forecast period. Julian is less likely to directly cause high impact weather over the country.
The Southwest Monsoon is forecast to bring rough seas (2.5 to 3.5 m) over the seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and Ilocos Norte. Those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out to sea.
- 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 885 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan(16.8Â°N, 130.0Â°E)
- 48 Hour(Sunday morning):860 km East of Aparri, Cagayan( 18.5Â°N, 129.8Â°E)
- 72 Hour(Monday morning): 730 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes( 22.9Â°N, 128.5Â°E)
- 96 Hour(Tuesday morning):805 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)( 27.1Â°N, 125.1Â°E)
- 120 Hour(Wednesday morning):1,130 km North of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)( 30.4Â°N, 124.2Â°E)
Philippine Tropical Cyclone Names
The first tropical cyclone of the year starts with the name beginning in letter A as in AMBO under column 1 for 2020 and so on down the list as one disturbance succeeds another. The 5th year (2024) will bring us back to column 1 of AMBO. In the event that the number of tropical cyclones within the year exceeds 25, an auxiliary list is used, the first ten of which are listed under each column.