Tropical Storm Khanun has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) was named Falcon, Pagasa reported on its latest severe weather bulletin.
The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data 1,360 km East of Central Luzon. It moving West Northwestward at 15 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.
The Southwest Monsoon currently enhanced by Tropical Storm EGAY (currently over mainland China) will also be enhanced by Tropical Storm FALCON starting this weekend, bringing occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Luzon and Visayas in the next three days.
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are highly likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
The hoisting of Wind Signal due to FALCON over any locality in the country remains unlikely based on the current forecast scenario. However, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring gusty conditions over the following areas, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
Tropical Storm Falcon enters PAR
- Today: Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Romblon, and most of CALABARZON, Bicol Region and Western Visayas.
- Tomorrow: Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Romblon, Northern Samar, and most of CALABARZON, Bicol Region and Western Visayas.
- Monday: Ilocos Norte, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Romblon, Northern Samar, and most of CALABARZON, Bicol Region and Western Visayas.
FALCON is forecast to move generally north northwestward today through tomorrow, then turn northwestward on Monday. This tropical cyclone will remain over the Philippine Sea and far from the Philippine landmass throughout the forecast period. On the track forecast, FALCON may exit the PAR region between Monday afternoon and Monday evening. Outside the PAR region, this tropical cyclone will turn west northwestward, pass very close or make landfall in the Okinawa Islands of the Ryukyu Archipelago between Monday evening and Tuesday morning, and move over the East China Sea towards the east coast of China.
As KHANUN continues to further consolidate its circulation, shifts in the track forecast remain possible in the succeeding advisories or bulletins.
KHANUN is forecast to within the next three days intensify within the next 5 days. It is forecast to become a typhoon tomorrow afternoon or evening and reach its peak intensity on late Monday or early Tuesday.
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