The Low Pressure Area over the Philippine Sea East of Aparri, Cagayan has developed into Tropical Depression Goring, Pagasa reported on Thursday.
The center of Tropical Depression GORING was estimated based on all available data at 400 km East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 405 km East of Calayan, Cagayan.
Tropical Depression Goring is less likely to bring heavy rainfall over the country in the next three days. However, considering the proximity of the tropical cyclone to land, any westward shift in the track forecast may result in heavy rainfall over portions of Cagayan Valley in the next three days. As such, the public and disaster managers are advised to continue monitoring for updates.
The Southwest Monsoon may be enhanced by this tropical cyclone beginning on Sunday or Monday, resulting in possible occasional rains over the western portions of Central and Southern Luzon. As such, the possibility of issuing a Weather Advisory for Southwest Monsoon is not ruled out.
The current forecast scenario shows that hoisting of Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals over areas in Northern Luzon may begin tonight or tomorrow in anticipation of the onset of tropical cyclone severe winds. However, the hoisting may happen earlier should there be changes in the forecast scenario.
Tropical Depression Goring to bring heavy rainfall
The possible enhancement of Southwest Monsoon may result in gusty conditions beginning on Sunday or Monday over most of Southern Luzon and Visayas, as well as portions of Caraga. The gusty conditions are more likely in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds.
After a period of generally northwestward movement in the next 12 hours, Goring is forecast to turn generally southward while over the waters off the eastern coast of Cagayan Valley. Over the next five days, the tropical cyclone will follow a generally looping track and may likely return to a more northward movement by late Monday or Tuesday.
Goring is forecast to steadily intensify throughout the forecast period and may reach tropical storm category tonight or tomorrow early morning. It may be upgraded into a typhoon category by Sunday during the southward segment of its looping track.
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