Super Typhoon Mawar enters PAR, now called ‘Betty’

Super Typhoon Mawar has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and was name Betty, Pagasa reported on Saturday. 

The center of the eye of Super Typhoon BETTY was estimated based on all available data at 1,320 km East of Central Luzon (16.1°N, 134.5°E)

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Betty has a maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 240 km/h, and central pressure of 915 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 25 km/h.

Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 570 km from the center. Wind signals are not hoisted over the country at this time.

Forecast accumulated rainfall from Monday early morning to Tuesday early morning

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  • 50-100 mm: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern portions of mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, and Apayao.

Forecast accumulated rainfall from Tuesday early morning to Wednesday early morning

  • Greater than 200 mm: Batanes
  • 100-200 mm: Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and La Union
  • 50-100 mm: Cordillera Administrative Region and the northern portion of mainland Cagayan.

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas.

Super Typhoon Mawar enters PAR, now called ‘Betty’

In areas that will not be directly affected by the super typhoon, monsoon rains from the enhanced Southwest Monsoon are possible over the western sections of MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao tomorrow. On Monday and Tuesday, monsoon rains are likely over the western sections of MIMAROPA and Western Visayas, and possible over the rest of MIMAROPA and Western Visayas.

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Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.

Over the weekend, Super Typhoon BETTY is forecast to track generally west northwestward. On Monday, the tropical cyclone will turn northwestward and decelerate as it moves over the waters east of Extreme Northern Luzon. BETTY may eventually become almost stationary between late Tuesday and early Wednesday when it will be closest to Batanes (i.e., within 250-300 km).

Betty is forecast to remain as a super typhoon over the weekend. Although it will likely maintain its strength for the next 36-48 hours, short-term intensification is not ruled out especially in the next 12 to 24 hours.

However, this tropical cyclone may begin weakening considerably on Monday or Tuesday during its slowdown period over the waters east of Batanes due to potential unfavorable conditions (e.g., effect of upwelling of cooler ocean water and dry air intrusion).

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