The center of Tropical Storm Paeng was estimated based on all available data at 410 km East of Borongan City, Eastern Samar, Pagasa reported on its 8 am severe weather bulletin.
Today through tomorrow early morning: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains possible over Bicol Region, Northern Samar, Samar, and Eastern Samar. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Western Visayas, Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, and the rest of Eastern Visayas. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Caraga, Zamboanga Peninsula, BARMM, Northern Mindanao, mainland Cagayan Valley, Aurora, Rizal, Laguna, and the rest of Visayas.
Tomorrow early morning through Sunday morning: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains possible over CALABARZON, Bicol Region, Aurora, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Metro Manila, mainland Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Western Visayas, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Central Luzon. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over the rest of Luzon and Visayas.
Signal no.2 raised over 4 provinces due to Tropical Storm Paeng
Per latest track and intensity forecast, the highest wind signal that will likely be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4 in anticipation of typhoon-force conditions associated with PAENG.
The surge of the Northeast Monsoon enhanced will also bring strong winds with gusts reaching gale-force strength over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Provinces, the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan, the eastern portions of Isabela, and the northern portion of Apayao.
Tropical Storm PAENG will move west northwestward over the Philippine Sea through Sunday while moving towards central or southern portion of Luzon. On the forecast track, PAENG may make landfall or pass very close to Catanduanes tomorrow morning. Another landfall scenario is likely on Sunday morning over Aurora or the east coast of Quezon (including Polillo Islands). Considering the southward shift in the forecast track, a possible landfall in the eastern portion of Bicol Region is not ruled out at this time.
PAENG is forecast to further intensify while moving over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea. It is forecast to reach typhoon category as it moves very close to Bicol Region. The occurrence of rapid intensification within 48 hours.
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